Federal Indepedent MP Bob Katter quashed speculation he will run for the Senate. Source: AAP
BOB Katter's party plans to field candidates in every seat in the lower house at the next federal election, but one political analyst says it will be lucky to win three.
But Katter's Australian Party (KAP) will almost certainly win a Senate seat in Queensland, according to Griffith University senior lecturer Paul Williams.
Dr Williams says if the conservative party is fortunate it could pick up two seats in the House of Representatives in addition to Bob Katter's safe north Queensland seat of Kennedy.
"The Katter party as we saw in the state election is not going to replicate any One Nation-style resurgence," Dr Williams told AAP.
"But it's possible that at least one other seat in Queensland and maybe one in NSW might be vulnerable to a Katter party assault.
"If they get three in the House of Representatives at the next election they should be extremely happy with that."
Bob Katter announced his party's election strategy at a media conference in Brisbane on Tuesday, saying it would field candidates in all 150 seats in the lower house.
Flanked by the party's national director Aidan McLindon and Queensland leader Ray Hopper, Mr Katter said KAP members would also run for Senate seats in every state except South Australia, where independent Senator Nick Xenophon is considered an ally.
The conservative One Nation party won 11 state seats in the 1998 Queensland election on the back of a platform to slash immigration and protect Australian industry.
Dr Williams says regional voters are no longer as opposed to globalisation and free trade as they were in One Nation's heyday.
The Katter party's real power will lie in its ability to influence the electoral outcome in marginal seats, stealing votes from the major parties or distributing crucial preferences to the National and Liberal National parties, he said.
Dr Williams added that he was "90 per cent sure" KAP would pick up a Senate seat in Queensland, but the party was unlikely to do so in any other state, except possibly NSW.
Mr Katter on Tuesday said after considering a tilt at the Senate he'd decided to remain in his long-held seat of Kennedy because it would serve the party better.
Mr Hopper, a Queensland MP, wouldn't rule out running for the Senate.
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